Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Taipei on September 6 are suppressing nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 23–25°C according to consensus from regional models and Central Weather Administration guidance. High dew points near 24–25°C combined with light variable winds and 80–100% humidity limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima hover around 24–26°C amid steady precipitation. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 25°C (34%), 26°C (33.5%), and 27°C (27.5%) because ensemble runs show only modest spread in overnight lows, with lower outcomes (23°C or below) requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current steering patterns do not support. Updated model runs and any late-day convective adjustments will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Taipeh am 6. September?
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
26°C 35%
20°C oder weniger
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
9%
30°C oder höher
34%
21°C 49%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
26°C 35%
20°C oder weniger
34%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
28%
28°C
49%
29°C
9%
30°C oder höher
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover forecast for Taipei on September 6 are suppressing nighttime radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures anchored near 23–25°C according to consensus from regional models and Central Weather Administration guidance. High dew points near 24–25°C combined with light variable winds and 80–100% humidity limit temperature drops, while daytime maxima hover around 24–26°C amid steady precipitation. Traders have clustered implied probabilities on 25°C (34%), 26°C (33.5%), and 27°C (27.5%) because ensemble runs show only modest spread in overnight lows, with lower outcomes (23°C or below) requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current steering patterns do not support. Updated model runs and any late-day convective adjustments will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen