**No actor chosen by end of 2027 leads trader sentiment at 52.5% implied probability**, reflecting the confirmed timeline for Miles Morales' live-action debut. Kevin Feige has stated that Marvel and Sony have active plans to introduce the character into the MCU after Sony's animated *Spider-Verse* trilogy concludes with *Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse* on June 18, 2027. This rights-related restriction and production priority have kept casting discussions in early speculative stages, with no guild nominations, official auditions, or studio shortlists publicly confirmed. Young performers such as Alex R. Hibbert, Dallas Dupree Young, and Caleb McLaughlin sit at lower market-implied odds amid broad competition, but the tight clustering around 50% for many names underscores uncertainty over timing, age suitability, and whether Miles will debut in a solo project or alongside Tom Holland's Peter Parker. Upcoming catalysts remain limited until post-2027 developments clarify the franchise roadmap.