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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 43%

Josh O'Connor 12.9%

Robert James-Collier 12.3%

No Bond chosen 12%

Polymarket
NEU

Callum Turner 43%

Josh O'Connor 12.9%

Robert James-Collier 12.3%

No Bond chosen 12%

Polymarket
NEU

Callum Turner

$153 Vol.

35%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

8%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

12%

No Bond chosen

$107 Vol.

12%

Jacob Elordi

$106 Vol.

12%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

11%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

11%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

11%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$338 Vol.

9%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

11%

Pierce Brosnan

$139 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads trader sentiment at 35% implied probability as the clearest frontrunner for the next James Bond, fueled by Amazon MGM’s official casting process launch in May 2026 under director Denis Villeneuve and veteran casting director Nina Gold. His recent Hollywood Reporter profile and George Clooney endorsement amplified momentum, while persistent rumors around his suitability—rooted in Masters of the Air visibility and British leading-man appeal—have outpaced competitors. The wide field reflects franchise uncertainty, with no confirmed shortlist or timeline, though historical patterns favor actors with strong precursor buzz and screen presence over established stars. Key catalysts ahead include further audition leaks or official announcements that could rapidly shift these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,578
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner leads trader sentiment at 35% implied probability as the clearest frontrunner for the next James Bond, fueled by Amazon MGM’s official casting process launch in May 2026 under director Denis Villeneuve and veteran casting director Nina Gold. His recent Hollywood Reporter profile and George Clooney endorsement amplified momentum, while persistent rumors around his suitability—rooted in Masters of the Air visibility and British leading-man appeal—have outpaced competitors. The wide field reflects franchise uncertainty, with no confirmed shortlist or timeline, though historical patterns favor actors with strong precursor buzz and screen presence over established stars. Key catalysts ahead include further audition leaks or official announcements that could rapidly shift these market-implied odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$3,578
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next James Bond actor?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Callum Turner" mit 35%, gefolgt von „Robert James-Collier" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Next James Bond actor?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Next James Bond actor?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next James Bond actor?" ist „Callum Turner" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Robert James-Collier" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next James Bond actor?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.