Recent trader consensus on the next James Bond actor reflects ongoing casting uncertainty under Amazon MGM and director Denis Villeneuve, with "No Bond chosen" holding the highest implied probability at 35.6% amid a timeline targeting a possible year-end announcement. Jack Lowden leads named contenders at 20.2% following buzz from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman’s comments suggesting a decision exists but remains unannounced, though Oldman later clarified he lacks insider confirmation. Jack Barton’s earlier surge to frontrunner status has cooled to 12.0%, while Callum Turner and others trail amid reports of a shortlist including Harris Dickinson and Jacob Elordi. Screen tests and guild-adjacent industry signals continue to shape sentiment ahead of any official reveal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNächster James-Bond-Schauspieler?
Nächster James-Bond-Schauspieler?
Kein Bond ausgewählt 35.1%
Jack Lowden 20.2%
Jack Barton 11.9%
Callum Turner 7.3%
$833,433 Vol.
$833,433 Vol.
Kein Bond ausgewählt
35%
Jack Lowden
20%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
7%
Harris Dickinson
2%
Richard Madden
1%
Jack O'Connell
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothée Chalamet
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Kein Bond ausgewählt 35.1%
Jack Lowden 20.2%
Jack Barton 11.9%
Callum Turner 7.3%
$833,433 Vol.
$833,433 Vol.
Kein Bond ausgewählt
35%
Jack Lowden
20%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
7%
Harris Dickinson
2%
Richard Madden
1%
Jack O'Connell
1%
Tom Francis
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Jacob Elordi
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothée Chalamet
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Theo James
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader consensus on the next James Bond actor reflects ongoing casting uncertainty under Amazon MGM and director Denis Villeneuve, with "No Bond chosen" holding the highest implied probability at 35.6% amid a timeline targeting a possible year-end announcement. Jack Lowden leads named contenders at 20.2% following buzz from Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman’s comments suggesting a decision exists but remains unannounced, though Oldman later clarified he lacks insider confirmation. Jack Barton’s earlier surge to frontrunner status has cooled to 12.0%, while Callum Turner and others trail amid reports of a shortlist including Harris Dickinson and Jacob Elordi. Screen tests and guild-adjacent industry signals continue to shape sentiment ahead of any official reveal.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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