Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus, eclipsing Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, preview hauls, and word-of-mouth that positioned the Tom Holland–Zendaya MCU entry as the year’s early frontrunner. Avengers: Doomsday retains meaningful implied probability as a major December holiday tentpole with strong franchise appeal, yet its later release date leaves it dependent on outpacing the July benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail significantly, reflecting more modest tracking for their respective June, November, and holiday slots amid lighter presale momentum and historical franchise performance patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,951 Vol.
$62,951 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77%
Avengers: Doomsday 24%
Toy Story 5 <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$62,951 Vol.
$62,951 Vol.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
77%
Avengers: Doomsday
24%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend in late July has anchored trader consensus, eclipsing Avengers: Endgame’s long-standing benchmark through exceptional presales, preview hauls, and word-of-mouth that positioned the Tom Holland–Zendaya MCU entry as the year’s early frontrunner. Avengers: Doomsday retains meaningful implied probability as a major December holiday tentpole with strong franchise appeal, yet its later release date leaves it dependent on outpacing the July benchmark. Toy Story 5, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail significantly, reflecting more modest tracking for their respective June, November, and holiday slots amid lighter presale momentum and historical franchise performance patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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