**Strong opening momentum from Robert Pattinson’s star power and Gen Z-driven turnout positions “Primetime” for a second-weekend gross centered in the $7–11 million range, where the two leading market outcomes sit tied at 29% implied probability.** The A24 true-crime thriller debuted at $19.2 million—its third-best opening ever—fueled by 69% of audiences under 30, Venice buzz, and roughly 90% critical scores that highlighted Pattinson’s performance as Chris Hansen. A “B” CinemaScore and the film’s unsettling subject matter point to a typical 45–55% sophomore drop for this profile, while new wide releases such as “Digger” and “Verity” add competitive pressure on screens and marketing. Traders appear to weigh the solid first-weekend legs against limited repeat-viewing potential and front-loaded marketing, keeping the 7–9 million and 9–11 million brackets essentially even ahead of the October 2–4 frame.