State Senator Eric Pratt has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the Minnesota 2nd Congressional District Republican primary following Tyler Kistner’s mid-April withdrawal due to military deployment obligations. Pratt secured 65 percent of delegate support at the May 2 endorsing convention against a late-entering challenger who subsequently dropped out and endorsed him, leaving no active opposition ahead of the August 11 primary. Traders have priced this consolidation into an 88 percent implied probability for Pratt, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and the party’s rapid unification behind the four-term legislator. The market continues to assign minimal weight to residual uncertainty over filing deadlines or unforeseen entries.