**Nawaf Salam has remained Lebanon’s prime minister since forming his reform-oriented cabinet in February 2025 under President Joseph Aoun, with no verified moves toward resignation, dismissal, or major coalition rupture as of mid-2026.** Parliamentary elections originally set for May 2026 were postponed by two years to 2028 amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war and related security conditions, extending the current government’s mandate without an automatic leadership change. Salam continues to lead reconstruction efforts in the south, diplomatic outreach including talks on Israeli withdrawals and ceasefires, and measures to assert state authority over armed groups. Recent public statements and official activities show the government maintaining parliamentary confidence and focusing on reforms, financial stabilization, and sovereignty issues without triggering the political crises or parliamentary maneuvers that historically force prime ministerial exits in Lebanon. Traders reflect this continuity by pricing an 89.5% probability on “No,” consistent with the absence of immediate catalysts for departure before year-end.