Skip to main content
icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politik·Wahlen In Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politik·Wahlen In Frankreich

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

NEU
30. Apr. 2027
Polymarket

$2,952 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 Vol.

9%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 Vol.

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 Vol.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 Vol.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Vol.

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Vol.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Vol.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Vol.

21%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Vol.

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Vol.

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 Vol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Vol.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Vol.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Vol.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 Vol.

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Vol.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Vol.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Vol.

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 Vol.

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Vol.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Vol.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Vol.

35%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Vol.

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Vol.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Vol.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election and is widely viewed as the frontrunner to reach the runoff, benefiting from party consolidation after Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and pending July 2026 appeal on her eligibility ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has shown gains on the left, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register stronger runoff potential against Bardella. A crowded field of declared and potential candidates from multiple parties, combined with France’s fragmented parliament since the 2024 snap legislative elections, increases uncertainty over which challenger will join Bardella in the second round. The two-week runoff format and historical “republican front” dynamics remain key variables.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$2,952
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election and is widely viewed as the frontrunner to reach the runoff, benefiting from party consolidation after Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and pending July 2026 appeal on her eligibility ban. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has shown gains on the left, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register stronger runoff potential against Bardella. A crowded field of declared and potential candidates from multiple parties, combined with France’s fragmented parliament since the 2024 snap legislative elections, increases uncertainty over which challenger will join Bardella in the second round. The two-week runoff format and historical “republican front” dynamics remain key variables.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$2,952
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 37 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 80%, gefolgt von „Édouard Philippe" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 37 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 80%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.