Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the nation's strongest Republican leans—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race. Long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas, facing Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, benefits from dominant past performances (73% in 2024 primary, 75%+ general margins) and $841,000 cash on hand as of March. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson vie in their primary but show weak fundraising. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect low flip risk; challenges would require a primary upset weakening the GOP nominee, a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national anti-Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertOK-03 Wahlsieger
OK-03 Wahlsieger
$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
4%
$83,444 Vol.
$83,444 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$46,081 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$37,363 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the nation's strongest Republican leans—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race. Long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas, facing Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, benefits from dominant past performances (73% in 2024 primary, 75%+ general margins) and $841,000 cash on hand as of March. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson vie in their primary but show weak fundraising. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect low flip risk; challenges would require a primary upset weakening the GOP nominee, a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national anti-Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$83,444Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the nation's strongest Republican leans—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race. Long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas, facing Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, benefits from dominant past performances (73% in 2024 primary, 75%+ general margins) and $841,000 cash on hand as of March. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson vie in their primary but show weak fundraising. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect low flip risk; challenges would require a primary upset weakening the GOP nominee, a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national anti-Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$83,444Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, with its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index—one of the nation's strongest Republican leans—anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race. Long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas, facing Wade Burleson in the June 16 Republican primary, benefits from dominant past performances (73% in 2024 primary, 75%+ general margins) and $841,000 cash on hand as of March. Democrats Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson vie in their primary but show weak fundraising. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others reflect low flip risk; challenges would require a primary upset weakening the GOP nominee, a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national anti-Republican wave ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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