The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMA-06 Wahlsieger
MA-06 Wahlsieger
$26,777 Vol.
$26,777 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
4%
$26,777 Vol.
$26,777 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$15,589 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$11,188 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$26,777Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,777Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen