Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced easily from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, far ahead of Republican Doug Basler at 22 percent. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-09 Wahlsieger
WA-09 Wahlsieger
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$28,906 Vol.
$28,906 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,350 Vol.
95%
Republikanische Partei
$17,556 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced easily from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, far ahead of Republican Doug Basler at 22 percent. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$28,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced easily from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, far ahead of Republican Doug Basler at 22 percent. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,906Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns. Incumbent Representative Adam Smith advanced easily from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 47 percent, far ahead of Republican Doug Basler at 22 percent. Cook Political Report classifies the seat as Solid Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Democrats aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or recent polling shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican national environment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in this district.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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