Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Centerpartiet (C) holding a modest edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in voting intentions, with both parties typically registering between 6% and 7.5%. Surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and SCB conducted between May and July 2026 place C ahead in most cases, while the latest Demoskop poll shows the two nearly tied. This pattern of stable differentials underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. No major campaign events, leadership changes, or policy shifts in the past month have significantly altered relative support, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout, regional variations, and any late adjustments in voter preferences among smaller parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertC
C
This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 5:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “C” if Centre Party (C) wins more valid votes than Christian Democrats (KD) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “KD” if Christian Democrats (KD) wins more valid votes than Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Centre Party (C) and Christian Democrats (KD) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show Centerpartiet (C) holding a modest edge over Kristdemokraterna (KD) in voting intentions, with both parties typically registering between 6% and 7.5%. Surveys from Novus, Indikator Opinion, and SCB conducted between May and July 2026 place C ahead in most cases, while the latest Demoskop poll shows the two nearly tied. This pattern of stable differentials underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. No major campaign events, leadership changes, or policy shifts in the past month have significantly altered relative support, leaving the outcome sensitive to final turnout, regional variations, and any late adjustments in voter preferences among smaller parties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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