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icon for Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

icon for Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Julianne Moore 64%

Inde Navarrette 15%

Renate Reinsve 8%

Sandra Hüller 7.8%

Polymarket

$132,185 Vol.

Julianne Moore 64%

Inde Navarrette 15%

Renate Reinsve 8%

Sandra Hüller 7.8%

Polymarket

$132,185 Vol.

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$88,488 Vol.

64%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$25,138 Vol.

15%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$12,599 Vol.

8%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$3,457 Vol.

8%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$173 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$711 Vol.

1%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$169 Vol.

1%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$207 Vol.

1%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$842 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$255 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$145 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% implied probability reflects strong trader consensus around her acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut*, which premiered to rapturous reviews at Telluride in mid-September and positioned the Oscar winner as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress race. Industry narrative emphasizes Moore’s history of Academy favor for layered dramatic roles, amplified by the film’s A24 backing and timely festival momentum. Lower odds for Inde Navarrette (*Obsession*) at 15% and supporting contenders like Renate Reinsve and Sandra Hüller capture their respective breakout buzz and guild-adjacent profiles, while the broad 50% tier for most others signals the fluid, pre-nomination stage ahead of fall festivals, critics’ awards, and the January 2027 shortlist.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$132,185
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore’s commanding 64% implied probability reflects strong trader consensus around her acclaimed lead performance in Jesse Eisenberg’s *The Debut*, which premiered to rapturous reviews at Telluride in mid-September and positioned the Oscar winner as the clear early frontrunner for the 2027 Best Actress race. Industry narrative emphasizes Moore’s history of Academy favor for layered dramatic roles, amplified by the film’s A24 backing and timely festival momentum. Lower odds for Inde Navarrette (*Obsession*) at 15% and supporting contenders like Renate Reinsve and Sandra Hüller capture their respective breakout buzz and guild-adjacent profiles, while the broad 50% tier for most others signals the fluid, pre-nomination stage ahead of fall festivals, critics’ awards, and the January 2027 shortlist.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$132,185
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Anne Hathaway den Oscar als beste Nebendarstellerin bei der 99. Verleihung der Academy Awards gewinnen?

Wird Anne Hathaway den Oscar als beste Nebendarstellerin bei der 99. Verleihung der Academy Awards gewinnen?

38%
Ja
icon for Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

53%
Ja
icon for Wird John Malkovich den Preis als Bester Hauptdarsteller bei der 99. Oscarverleihung gewinnen?

Wird John Malkovich den Preis als Bester Hauptdarsteller bei der 99. Oscarverleihung gewinnen?

30%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Julianne Moore" mit 64%, gefolgt von „Inde Navarrette" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 64¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $132.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 28, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ist „Julianne Moore" mit 64%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Inde Navarrette" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.