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icon for Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

icon for Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin

Renate Reinsve 28%

Sandra Hüller 28%

Julianne Moore 27%

Virginie Efira 27%

Polymarket
NEU

Renate Reinsve 28%

Sandra Hüller 28%

Julianne Moore 27%

Virginie Efira 27%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$0 Vol.

26%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With no dominant frontrunner yet for the 2027 Oscars Best Actress race, traders have priced nearly every listed contender between 45% and 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the wide-open field for 2026 releases. The cycle remains in its earliest phase, with major studio campaigns, guild screenings, and critics' awards still months away, allowing buzz around performances in upcoming films to shift rapidly. Historical patterns show that early momentum often stems from strong festival debuts or box-office surprises, but late-year releases frequently overtake initial favorites once reviews and precursors accumulate. Upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres and year-end critic lists that could consolidate support among actresses like Renate Reinsve or established names such as Julianne Moore and Sandra Hüller.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
14. März 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Verwandte

icon for Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

Wird Die Odyssee bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Film gewinnen?

51%
Ja
icon for Wird Tom Cruise bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Hauptdarsteller gewinnen?

Wird Tom Cruise bei der 99. Oscarverleihung den Preis für den besten Hauptdarsteller gewinnen?

29%
Ja
icon for Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

98%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Renate Reinsve" mit 28%, gefolgt von „Sandra Hüller" mit 28%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 28, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" ist „Renate Reinsve" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Sandra Hüller" mit 28%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Oscars 2027: Beste Hauptdarstellerin" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.