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icon for Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politik·Vote Share

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politik·Vote Share

Paloma Valencia vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

<10% 99.6%

10-15% <1%

25-30% <1%

35%+ <1%

Polymarket

$14,641 Vol.

<10% 99.6%

10-15% <1%

25-30% <1%

35%+ <1%

Polymarket

$14,641 Vol.

<10%

$7,693 Vol.

100%

10-15%

$1,553 Vol.

<1%

15-20%

$733 Vol.

<1%

20-25%

$1,062 Vol.

<1%

25-30%

$2,496 Vol.

<1%

30-35%

$688 Vol.

<1%

35%+

$415 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia's first-round performance in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential election drove the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10% share. Official tallies placed her at approximately 7%, as conservative voters consolidated behind outsider Abelardo de la Espriella rather than the Democratic Center nominee. Her campaign faced challenges including internal tensions over running-mate selection, limited differentiation from Uribismo, and failure to broaden appeal beyond establishment bases amid de la Espriella's security-focused messaging. With results largely certified and the runoff now set between de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, only a significant recount or legal adjustment could alter the final certified total for Valencia.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$14,641
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Paloma Valencia's first-round performance in Colombia's May 31, 2026, presidential election drove the market's overwhelming consensus on a sub-10% share. Official tallies placed her at approximately 7%, as conservative voters consolidated behind outsider Abelardo de la Espriella rather than the Democratic Center nominee. Her campaign faced challenges including internal tensions over running-mate selection, limited differentiation from Uribismo, and failure to broaden appeal beyond establishment bases amid de la Espriella's security-focused messaging. With results largely certified and the runoff now set between de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, only a significant recount or legal adjustment could alter the final certified total for Valencia.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$14,641
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 27, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Paloma Valencia wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Paloma Valencia, not any coalition of which she may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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