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icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politik·Kolumbien

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?
Politik·Kolumbien

Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?

54-57% 51%

51-54% 18%

57-60% 18.0%

48-51% 15%

Polymarket
NEU

54-57% 51%

51-54% 18%

57-60% 18.0%

48-51% 15%

Polymarket
NEU

<48%

$436 Vol.

4%

48-51%

$428 Vol.

21%

51-54%

$420 Vol.

23%

54-57%

$441 Vol.

41%

57-60%

$420 Vol.

17%

60%+

$489 Vol.

23%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Historical first-round turnout in Colombia has consistently ranged between 54% and 57% of registered voters, a pattern reinforced by modeling that projects roughly 22-23 million ballots from an electoral census of 41.5 million ahead of the May 31 vote. The fragmented three-way contest among Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has produced no clear signs of exceptional mobilization or abstention shifts, keeping expectations anchored near the historical midpoint. Traders therefore assign the 54-57% band the highest implied probability, with neighboring ranges capturing residual uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics and regional participation variations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Historical first-round turnout in Colombia has consistently ranged between 54% and 57% of registered voters, a pattern reinforced by modeling that projects roughly 22-23 million ballots from an electoral census of 41.5 million ahead of the May 31 vote. The fragmented three-way contest among Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia has produced no clear signs of exceptional mobilization or abstention shifts, keeping expectations anchored near the historical midpoint. Traders therefore assign the 54-57% band the highest implied probability, with neighboring ranges capturing residual uncertainty over late-campaign dynamics and regional participation variations.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „54-57%" mit 41%, gefolgt von „51-54%" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 21, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Colombia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout?" ist „54-57%" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „51-54%" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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