The race for second place in the October 5 Quebec general election remains closely contested between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Recent Léger polling shows both parties tied near 23 percent, with the CAQ registering gains amid new leadership under Christine Fréchette and ongoing consolidation of federalist support. Regional variations, including competitive three-way races in Quebec City and suburban Montreal ridings, combined with high undecided voter levels near 47 percent, sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the Parti Québécois provincial lead and the fragmented non-sovereigntist vote when assessing probabilities for the runner-up outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCAQ 42%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
CAQ
42%
PQ
25%
QS
24%
PCQ
24%
PVQ
22%
PLQ
43%
CAQ 42%
PQ 25%
QS 24%
PCQ 24%
NEU
NEU
4. Okt. 2026
CAQ
$0 Vol.
42%
PQ
$0 Vol.
25%
QS
$101 Vol.
24%
PCQ
$45 Vol.
24%
PVQ
$146 Vol.
22%
PLQ
$10 Vol.
43%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The race for second place in the October 5 Quebec general election remains closely contested between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Recent Léger polling shows both parties tied near 23 percent, with the CAQ registering gains amid new leadership under Christine Fréchette and ongoing consolidation of federalist support. Regional variations, including competitive three-way races in Quebec City and suburban Montreal ridings, combined with high undecided voter levels near 47 percent, sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the Parti Québécois provincial lead and the fragmented non-sovereigntist vote when assessing probabilities for the runner-up outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$302Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The race for second place in the October 5 Quebec general election remains closely contested between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Recent Léger polling shows both parties tied near 23 percent, with the CAQ registering gains amid new leadership under Christine Fréchette and ongoing consolidation of federalist support. Regional variations, including competitive three-way races in Quebec City and suburban Montreal ridings, combined with high undecided voter levels near 47 percent, sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the Parti Québécois provincial lead and the fragmented non-sovereigntist vote when assessing probabilities for the runner-up outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$302Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in the October 5 Quebec general election remains closely contested between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec. Recent Léger polling shows both parties tied near 23 percent, with the CAQ registering gains amid new leadership under Christine Fréchette and ongoing consolidation of federalist support. Regional variations, including competitive three-way races in Quebec City and suburban Montreal ridings, combined with high undecided voter levels near 47 percent, sustain uncertainty over final positioning. Traders appear to weigh these factors alongside the Parti Québécois provincial lead and the fragmented non-sovereigntist vote when assessing probabilities for the runner-up outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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