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icon for VMA-Video des Jahres 2026

VMA-Video des Jahres 2026

icon for VMA-Video des Jahres 2026

VMA-Video des Jahres 2026

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 57%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%

Polymarket
NEU

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 57%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna) 23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande) 1%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars) 1%

Polymarket
NEU

The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)

$135 Vol.

63%

Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)

$65 Vol.

23%

Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)

$30 Vol.

7%

I Just Might (Bruno Mars)

$18 Vol.

8%

Storm (Gener8ion feat. Yung Lean)

$2 Vol.

7%

Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)

$14 Vol.

7%

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$264
Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.

If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$264
Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird „Swim“ von BTS den Song des Jahres bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

Wird „Swim“ von BTS den Song des Jahres bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

61%
Ja
icon for Wird „Safe“ von Cardi B featuring Kehlani den Preis für Best Hip-Hop bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

Wird „Safe“ von Cardi B featuring Kehlani den Preis für Best Hip-Hop bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

85%
Ja
icon for Wird „The Cure“ von Olivia Rodrigo den Preis für das beste Alternative-Video bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

Wird „The Cure“ von Olivia Rodrigo den Preis für das beste Alternative-Video bei den MTV Video Music Awards 2026 gewinnen?

52%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„VMA-Video des Jahres 2026" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)" mit 63%, gefolgt von „Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 63¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„VMA-Video des Jahres 2026" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „VMA-Video des Jahres 2026" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „VMA-Video des Jahres 2026" ist „The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)" mit 63%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 63% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „VMA-Video des Jahres 2026" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.