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icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Gehäuse·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Gehäuse·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

>1.209m 39%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.194 - 1.209m 16%

Polymarket
NEU

>1.209m 39%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.194 - 1.209m 16%

Polymarket
NEU

<1.166m

$0 Vol.

11%

1.166 - 1.173m

$0 Vol.

13%

1.173 - 1.18m

$60 Vol.

28%

1.18 - 1.187m

$100 Vol.

28%

1.187 - 1.194m

$210 Vol.

45%

1.194 - 1.209m

$40 Vol.

16%

>1.209m

$54 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data from the Los Angeles metro area shows median values stabilizing near $1.09 million in April 2026 listings, with modest month-to-month gains offset by slight year-over-year softness amid elevated mortgage rates and gradually improving inventory. This equilibrium has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with the 1.187–1.194 million band holding a slim 45 percent edge over the greater-than-1.209 million outcome at 41 percent, reflecting trader consensus that short-term price movement through May 31 will hinge on final seasonal demand and any late release of May transaction data. Limited new supply and persistent buyer interest in core neighborhoods continue to anchor values, while broader macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations introduce only marginal downside risk to the near-term resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Volumen
$463
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent housing market data from the Los Angeles metro area shows median values stabilizing near $1.09 million in April 2026 listings, with modest month-to-month gains offset by slight year-over-year softness amid elevated mortgage rates and gradually improving inventory. This equilibrium has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with the 1.187–1.194 million band holding a slim 45 percent edge over the greater-than-1.209 million outcome at 41 percent, reflecting trader consensus that short-term price movement through May 31 will hinge on final seasonal demand and any late release of May transaction data. Limited new supply and persistent buyer interest in core neighborhoods continue to anchor values, while broader macroeconomic factors such as Treasury yields and Fed policy expectations introduce only marginal downside risk to the near-term resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Volumen
$463
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „1.187 - 1.194m" mit 45%, gefolgt von „>1.209m" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 4, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?" ist „1.187 - 1.194m" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „>1.209m" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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