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icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)
Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

icon for Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)
Technik·AI

Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

Okt. 1

Nov. 1

Dez. 1

Anthropic 75%

Meta 8%

Google 8%

Amazon 4.8%

Polymarket
NEU

Anthropic 75%

Meta 8%

Google 8%

Amazon 4.8%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$1,221 Vol.

75%

icon for Meta

Meta

$194 Vol.

8%

icon for Google

Google

$188 Vol.

8%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$191 Vol.

5%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$191 Vol.

3%

icon for StepFun

StepFun

$191 Vol.

3%

icon for Thinky

Thinky

$193 Vol.

3%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$180 Vol.

3%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$182 Vol.

2%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$182 Vol.

2%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$166 Vol.

2%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$186 Vol.

1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$145 Vol.

1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$131 Vol.

1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$170 Vol.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$190 Vol.

1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$191 Vol.

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$191 Vol.

1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$231 Vol.

1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$260 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, launched around September 1, 2026, have driven the 74.5% market-implied odds by topping independent leaderboards on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. These large language models outperform OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra (released September 3) and Google's Gemini updates in key evaluations for knowledge work and tool use, reflecting Anthropic's edge in enterprise-grade capabilities amid a competitive frontier. Traders view this positioning as durable through November given limited near-term catalysts from rivals, though rapid iteration in the AI sector could shift consensus if new model capabilities or benchmark rebasings emerge.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$4,960
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's recent Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 releases, launched around September 1, 2026, have driven the 74.5% market-implied odds by topping independent leaderboards on reasoning, coding, and agentic benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench and SWE-bench variants. These large language models outperform OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra (released September 3) and Google's Gemini updates in key evaluations for knowledge work and tool use, reflecting Anthropic's edge in enterprise-grade capabilities amid a competitive frontier. Traders view this positioning as durable through November given limited near-term catalysts from rivals, though rapid iteration in the AI sector could shift consensus if new model capabilities or benchmark rebasings emerge.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$4,960
Enddatum
1. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

86%
icon for Wird Anthropic am Ende November 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben?

Wird Anthropic am Ende November 2026 das beste KI-Modell haben?

78%
Ja
icon for Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das beste Mathe-KI-Modell haben?

Wird Anthropic Ende November 2026 das beste Mathe-KI-Modell haben?

41%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 75%, gefolgt von „Meta" mit 8%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 75¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 21 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" ist „Anthropic" mit 75%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 75% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Meta" mit 8%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Welches Unternehmen hat Ende November das KI-Modell Nr.1? (Stilsteuerung Ein)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.