Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release slot, MCU event status, and historical precedent for massive openings from franchise tentpoles in that window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% after posting the all-time domestic record of $360 million over the July 31 weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, though its summer timing limits further upside against December competition. Toy Story 5 (0.9%) achieved a solid but lower $160 million June debut, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting November and shared December dates with narrower fanbases and direct head-to-head challenges. Key catalysts ahead include tracking data, presales, and any late reviews that could shift momentum before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 31%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$40,168 Vol.
$40,168 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
31%
Toy Story 5
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 31%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$40,168 Vol.
$40,168 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$6,283 Vol.
60%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$5,610 Vol.
31%
Toy Story 5
$1,822 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$2,387 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$1,920 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release slot, MCU event status, and historical precedent for massive openings from franchise tentpoles in that window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% after posting the all-time domestic record of $360 million over the July 31 weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, though its summer timing limits further upside against December competition. Toy Story 5 (0.9%) achieved a solid but lower $160 million June debut, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting November and shared December dates with narrower fanbases and direct head-to-head challenges. Key catalysts ahead include tracking data, presales, and any late reviews that could shift momentum before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$40,168Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release slot, MCU event status, and historical precedent for massive openings from franchise tentpoles in that window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% after posting the all-time domestic record of $360 million over the July 31 weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, though its summer timing limits further upside against December competition. Toy Story 5 (0.9%) achieved a solid but lower $160 million June debut, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting November and shared December dates with narrower fanbases and direct head-to-head challenges. Key catalysts ahead include tracking data, presales, and any late reviews that could shift momentum before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$40,168Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 60% implied probability due to its December 18 holiday release slot, MCU event status, and historical precedent for massive openings from franchise tentpoles in that window. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 30.5% after posting the all-time domestic record of $360 million over the July 31 weekend, surpassing Avengers: Endgame, though its summer timing limits further upside against December competition. Toy Story 5 (0.9%) achieved a solid but lower $160 million June debut, while The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah trail at 0.1% each, reflecting November and shared December dates with narrower fanbases and direct head-to-head challenges. Key catalysts ahead include tracking data, presales, and any late reviews that could shift momentum before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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