FIFA's repeated public affirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled have anchored trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Recent confirmations from President Gianni Infantino at the April congress, combined with secured player visas and Iran's official preparations despite regional tensions, have reinforced this outlook. Proposals to substitute Italy drew swift rejections from Italian officials as inappropriate and undeserved, while the U.S. clarified that athletes remain eligible even amid restrictions on certain personnel. This stability outweighs earlier speculation tied to travel concerns or boycott rhetoric. A genuine Iranian withdrawal, driven by unresolved diplomatic escalations before June, could still open the door for the highest-ranked non-qualified Asian side such as the UAE, though current developments make such a shift improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNo Replacement 85.5%
Italy 7.7%
UAE 3.6%
Other <1%
$31,131 Vol.
$31,131 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
85%
Italy
8%
UAE
4%
Other
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 85.5%
Italy 7.7%
UAE 3.6%
Other <1%
$31,131 Vol.
$31,131 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
$8,403 Vol.
85%
Italy
$15,736 Vol.
8%
UAE
$2,991 Vol.
4%
Other
$2,310 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$1,691 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated public affirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled have anchored trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Recent confirmations from President Gianni Infantino at the April congress, combined with secured player visas and Iran's official preparations despite regional tensions, have reinforced this outlook. Proposals to substitute Italy drew swift rejections from Italian officials as inappropriate and undeserved, while the U.S. clarified that athletes remain eligible even amid restrictions on certain personnel. This stability outweighs earlier speculation tied to travel concerns or boycott rhetoric. A genuine Iranian withdrawal, driven by unresolved diplomatic escalations before June, could still open the door for the highest-ranked non-qualified Asian side such as the UAE, though current developments make such a shift improbable.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volumen
$31,131Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA's repeated public affirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled have anchored trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Recent confirmations from President Gianni Infantino at the April congress, combined with secured player visas and Iran's official preparations despite regional tensions, have reinforced this outlook. Proposals to substitute Italy drew swift rejections from Italian officials as inappropriate and undeserved, while the U.S. clarified that athletes remain eligible even amid restrictions on certain personnel. This stability outweighs earlier speculation tied to travel concerns or boycott rhetoric. A genuine Iranian withdrawal, driven by unresolved diplomatic escalations before June, could still open the door for the highest-ranked non-qualified Asian side such as the UAE, though current developments make such a shift improbable.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$31,131Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA's repeated public affirmations that Iran will compete as scheduled have anchored trader consensus around no replacement for the 2026 World Cup. Recent confirmations from President Gianni Infantino at the April congress, combined with secured player visas and Iran's official preparations despite regional tensions, have reinforced this outlook. Proposals to substitute Italy drew swift rejections from Italian officials as inappropriate and undeserved, while the U.S. clarified that athletes remain eligible even amid restrictions on certain personnel. This stability outweighs earlier speculation tied to travel concerns or boycott rhetoric. A genuine Iranian withdrawal, driven by unresolved diplomatic escalations before June, could still open the door for the highest-ranked non-qualified Asian side such as the UAE, though current developments make such a shift improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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