Strong preview performance and surging presales have positioned *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* as a likely contender to challenge Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a Yes outcome. The film delivered a record $72 million in previews—surpassing Endgame’s prior benchmark—and is tracking for a domestic debut in the $250–300 million range, with some forecasts pushing higher amid 91% critical approval on Rotten Tomatoes and robust global presales exceeding $120 million. Traders are pricing in Spider-Man’s enduring audience appeal and lack of superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise, even without premium IMAX screens due to competing releases. The immediate catalyst remains this weekend’s full box office results, which will confirm whether momentum sustains through Sunday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Spider-Man: Brand New Day den Eröffnungswochenendrekord von Avengers: Endgame schlagen?
Wird Spider-Man: Brand New Day den Eröffnungswochenendrekord von Avengers: Endgame schlagen?
Ja
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong preview performance and surging presales have positioned *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* as a likely contender to challenge Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a Yes outcome. The film delivered a record $72 million in previews—surpassing Endgame’s prior benchmark—and is tracking for a domestic debut in the $250–300 million range, with some forecasts pushing higher amid 91% critical approval on Rotten Tomatoes and robust global presales exceeding $120 million. Traders are pricing in Spider-Man’s enduring audience appeal and lack of superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise, even without premium IMAX screens due to competing releases. The immediate catalyst remains this weekend’s full box office results, which will confirm whether momentum sustains through Sunday.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volumen
$5,279Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong preview performance and surging presales have positioned *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* as a likely contender to challenge Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a Yes outcome. The film delivered a record $72 million in previews—surpassing Endgame’s prior benchmark—and is tracking for a domestic debut in the $250–300 million range, with some forecasts pushing higher amid 91% critical approval on Rotten Tomatoes and robust global presales exceeding $120 million. Traders are pricing in Spider-Man’s enduring audience appeal and lack of superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise, even without premium IMAX screens due to competing releases. The immediate catalyst remains this weekend’s full box office results, which will confirm whether momentum sustains through Sunday.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has a domestic Opening Weekend Box Office gross greater than the equivalent figure for "Avengers: Endgame" of $357,115,007. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$5,279Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong preview performance and surging presales have positioned *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* as a likely contender to challenge Avengers: Endgame’s $357 million domestic opening weekend record, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a Yes outcome. The film delivered a record $72 million in previews—surpassing Endgame’s prior benchmark—and is tracking for a domestic debut in the $250–300 million range, with some forecasts pushing higher amid 91% critical approval on Rotten Tomatoes and robust global presales exceeding $120 million. Traders are pricing in Spider-Man’s enduring audience appeal and lack of superhero fatigue for the Tom Holland-led franchise, even without premium IMAX screens due to competing releases. The immediate catalyst remains this weekend’s full box office results, which will confirm whether momentum sustains through Sunday.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?
50%
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende-Boxoffice von „Spider-Man: Brand New Day“ mehr als 280 Mio. betragen?
100%
Ja
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" an den Kinokassen mindestens 350 Mio. einspielen?
91%
Ja
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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