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Politik·Midterms

Wird die Änderung des Abtreibungsschutzes in Nevada verabschiedet?

icon for Wird die Änderung des Abtreibungsschutzes in Nevada verabschiedet?
Politik·Midterms

Wird die Änderung des Abtreibungsschutzes in Nevada verabschiedet?

Ja

95% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

95% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada's Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot, enjoys near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability of passage after securing 64% voter approval in its first ratification in 2024, codifying existing state law permitting abortion until fetal viability or to protect the pregnant person's life or health. With no notable developments in the past 30 days and opposition group Protect Our Girls reporting zero fundraising as of late March 2026—contrasted with supporters Nevadans for Reproductive Freedom raising $200,000—markets reflect entrenched public support mirroring Nevada's 1990 referendum upholding abortion access. Realistic shifts could arise from a late opposition surge, legal challenges, voter turnout anomalies in this midterm, or ballot confusion, though historical precedents favor stability.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volumen
$331
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada's Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative on the November 3, 2026, general election ballot, enjoys near-unanimous trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability of passage after securing 64% voter approval in its first ratification in 2024, codifying existing state law permitting abortion until fetal viability or to protect the pregnant person's life or health. With no notable developments in the past 30 days and opposition group Protect Our Girls reporting zero fundraising as of late March 2026—contrasted with supporters Nevadans for Reproductive Freedom raising $200,000—markets reflect entrenched public support mirroring Nevada's 1990 referendum upholding abortion access. Realistic shifts could arise from a late opposition surge, legal challenges, voter turnout anomalies in this midterm, or ballot confusion, though historical precedents favor stability.

Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
Volumen
$331
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).

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