Bipartisan congressional opposition and explicit signals from the Trump administration have anchored trader expectations against a pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026. In July 2026 the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution urging no clemency, citing her 2021 federal conviction for sex trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend any relief, while a federal judge in August rejected Maxwell’s habeas petition seeking release. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered or been formally approached about the matter and would consult the DOJ if asked. With Maxwell’s appeals exhausted and no pardon process underway, these institutional and political barriers have produced the current 95 percent implied probability for no action before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
5% Chance
$759,313 Vol.
$759,313 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
Ja
5% Chance
$759,313 Vol.
$759,313 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional opposition and explicit signals from the Trump administration have anchored trader expectations against a pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026. In July 2026 the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution urging no clemency, citing her 2021 federal conviction for sex trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend any relief, while a federal judge in August rejected Maxwell’s habeas petition seeking release. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered or been formally approached about the matter and would consult the DOJ if asked. With Maxwell’s appeals exhausted and no pardon process underway, these institutional and political barriers have produced the current 95 percent implied probability for no action before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volumen
$759,313Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan congressional opposition and explicit signals from the Trump administration have anchored trader expectations against a pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026. In July 2026 the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution urging no clemency, citing her 2021 federal conviction for sex trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend any relief, while a federal judge in August rejected Maxwell’s habeas petition seeking release. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered or been formally approached about the matter and would consult the DOJ if asked. With Maxwell’s appeals exhausted and no pardon process underway, these institutional and political barriers have produced the current 95 percent implied probability for no action before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$759,313Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...Bipartisan congressional opposition and explicit signals from the Trump administration have anchored trader expectations against a pardon or commutation for Ghislaine Maxwell by December 31, 2026. In July 2026 the Senate unanimously adopted a resolution urging no clemency, citing her 2021 federal conviction for sex trafficking minors connected to Jeffrey Epstein. Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche testified in May that the Justice Department would not recommend any relief, while a federal judge in August rejected Maxwell’s habeas petition seeking release. Trump has repeatedly stated he has not considered or been formally approached about the matter and would consult the DOJ if asked. With Maxwell’s appeals exhausted and no pardon process underway, these institutional and political barriers have produced the current 95 percent implied probability for no action before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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