Republican control of the House of Representatives remains the primary structural barrier to impeachment proceedings before June 30, as any formal action requires majority support in that chamber. With no active investigations or bipartisan resolutions advancing in recent weeks, traders see little basis for rapid procedural movement. Historical patterns show impeachment efforts typically require extended committee work and floor votes that exceed the short remaining window. Scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden release of new evidence prompting emergency hearings or unexpected changes in House leadership dynamics, though both remain low-probability events given current legislative priorities and calendar constraints.