Republican control of the House currently blocks any realistic path to impeachment, as demonstrated by the September 2026 tabling of articles introduced by Rep. Al Green over immigration enforcement actions. Prediction markets assign only 2% probability to House passage by December 31, 2026, rising to 40% by June 2027 and 60% by December 2027. These timelines align with the November 2026 midterms, where Democratic gains could produce the simple majority needed for articles of impeachment. Trader consensus reflects historical patterns in which unified opposition party control of the House has enabled such proceedings, while removal would still require a separate two-thirds Senate vote. Key variables include midterm results, any new investigations or votes in the current Congress, and developments in areas such as border policy or executive actions that could supply additional articles.