Recent US-Iran nuclear talks have stalled over Tehran's refusal to accept a permanent or extended halt to uranium enrichment, despite proposals for downblending its stockpile under IAEA oversight. Iranian officials have rejected transferring highly enriched material abroad and countered US demands for a 20-year moratorium with shorter limits or continued enrichment at lower levels, citing national rights and distrust. These positions, reinforced by recent statements from the Foreign Minister and Atomic Energy Organization, align with trader consensus pricing "No" at 80.5 percent for an agreement by the June 30 deadline. With indirect negotiations mediated through Oman and Pakistan showing no breakthrough on core issues like stockpile removal or sanctions relief, the tight timeline leaves little room for the public commitment required to resolve the market in the affirmative.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertStimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Stimmt der Iran zu, die Anreicherung von Uran bis zum 30. Juni zu beenden?
Ja
$1,381,200 Vol.
$1,381,200 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$1,381,200 Vol.
$1,381,200 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear talks have stalled over Tehran's refusal to accept a permanent or extended halt to uranium enrichment, despite proposals for downblending its stockpile under IAEA oversight. Iranian officials have rejected transferring highly enriched material abroad and countered US demands for a 20-year moratorium with shorter limits or continued enrichment at lower levels, citing national rights and distrust. These positions, reinforced by recent statements from the Foreign Minister and Atomic Energy Organization, align with trader consensus pricing "No" at 80.5 percent for an agreement by the June 30 deadline. With indirect negotiations mediated through Oman and Pakistan showing no breakthrough on core issues like stockpile removal or sanctions relief, the tight timeline leaves little room for the public commitment required to resolve the market in the affirmative.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,381,200Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran nuclear talks have stalled over Tehran's refusal to accept a permanent or extended halt to uranium enrichment, despite proposals for downblending its stockpile under IAEA oversight. Iranian officials have rejected transferring highly enriched material abroad and countered US demands for a 20-year moratorium with shorter limits or continued enrichment at lower levels, citing national rights and distrust. These positions, reinforced by recent statements from the Foreign Minister and Atomic Energy Organization, align with trader consensus pricing "No" at 80.5 percent for an agreement by the June 30 deadline. With indirect negotiations mediated through Oman and Pakistan showing no breakthrough on core issues like stockpile removal or sanctions relief, the tight timeline leaves little room for the public commitment required to resolve the market in the affirmative.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,381,200Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran nuclear talks have stalled over Tehran's refusal to accept a permanent or extended halt to uranium enrichment, despite proposals for downblending its stockpile under IAEA oversight. Iranian officials have rejected transferring highly enriched material abroad and countered US demands for a 20-year moratorium with shorter limits or continued enrichment at lower levels, citing national rights and distrust. These positions, reinforced by recent statements from the Foreign Minister and Atomic Energy Organization, align with trader consensus pricing "No" at 80.5 percent for an agreement by the June 30 deadline. With indirect negotiations mediated through Oman and Pakistan showing no breakthrough on core issues like stockpile removal or sanctions relief, the tight timeline leaves little room for the public commitment required to resolve the market in the affirmative.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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