Iran’s next scheduled presidential election follows the four-year constitutional term that began after the 2024 vote, placing the contest in 2028. No official announcement, legislative action, or acute political crisis has emerged in recent weeks to justify advancing the date to June 30. Traders therefore assign a 98.3 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any procedural trigger such as the death or incapacitation of the incumbent or a no-confidence mechanism. The only realistic paths that could still alter the outcome within the narrow window involve unforeseen leadership changes or sudden domestic upheaval, both of which remain low-probability events given current institutional continuity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird der Iran bis zum 30. Juni Präsidentschaftswahlen abhalten?
Wird der Iran bis zum 30. Juni Präsidentschaftswahlen abhalten?
Ja
$218,592 Vol.
$218,592 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Ja
$218,592 Vol.
$218,592 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next scheduled presidential election follows the four-year constitutional term that began after the 2024 vote, placing the contest in 2028. No official announcement, legislative action, or acute political crisis has emerged in recent weeks to justify advancing the date to June 30. Traders therefore assign a 98.3 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any procedural trigger such as the death or incapacitation of the incumbent or a no-confidence mechanism. The only realistic paths that could still alter the outcome within the narrow window involve unforeseen leadership changes or sudden domestic upheaval, both of which remain low-probability events given current institutional continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volumen
$218,592Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s next scheduled presidential election follows the four-year constitutional term that began after the 2024 vote, placing the contest in 2028. No official announcement, legislative action, or acute political crisis has emerged in recent weeks to justify advancing the date to June 30. Traders therefore assign a 98.3 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any procedural trigger such as the death or incapacitation of the incumbent or a no-confidence mechanism. The only realistic paths that could still alter the outcome within the narrow window involve unforeseen leadership changes or sudden domestic upheaval, both of which remain low-probability events given current institutional continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$218,592Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s next scheduled presidential election follows the four-year constitutional term that began after the 2024 vote, placing the contest in 2028. No official announcement, legislative action, or acute political crisis has emerged in recent weeks to justify advancing the date to June 30. Traders therefore assign a 98.3 percent probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of any procedural trigger such as the death or incapacitation of the incumbent or a no-confidence mechanism. The only realistic paths that could still alter the outcome within the narrow window involve unforeseen leadership changes or sudden domestic upheaval, both of which remain low-probability events given current institutional continuity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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