Recent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls and May CPI at 4.2% have elevated expectations for Federal Reserve tightening under new Chair Kevin Warsh, with the June 16–17 FOMC meeting serving as the immediate catalyst for XAU/USD. Gold has fallen sharply from January highs above $5,500 to trade near $4,200, breaking below its 200-day moving average and testing multi-month support around $4,000 amid a firmer dollar and higher Treasury yields. Trader consensus in prediction markets reflects these rate-hike risks and reduced safe-haven demand, though any dovish pivot or escalation in geopolitical tensions could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4.500
50%
↑ $4,450
50%
↑ $4,400
50%
↑ $4.350
50%
↑ $4.300
56%
↑ $4,250
74%
↓ $4,200
74%
↓ $4,150
62%
↓ $4,100
50%
↓ $4,050
50%
↓ $4,000
50%
↓ $3,950
50%
↓ $3,900
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4.500
50%
↑ $4,450
50%
↑ $4,400
50%
↑ $4.350
50%
↑ $4.300
56%
↑ $4,250
74%
↓ $4,200
74%
↓ $4,150
62%
↓ $4,100
50%
↓ $4,050
50%
↓ $4,000
50%
↓ $3,950
50%
↓ $3,900
50%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hot U.S. nonfarm payrolls and May CPI at 4.2% have elevated expectations for Federal Reserve tightening under new Chair Kevin Warsh, with the June 16–17 FOMC meeting serving as the immediate catalyst for XAU/USD. Gold has fallen sharply from January highs above $5,500 to trade near $4,200, breaking below its 200-day moving average and testing multi-month support around $4,000 amid a firmer dollar and higher Treasury yields. Trader consensus in prediction markets reflects these rate-hike risks and reduced safe-haven demand, though any dovish pivot or escalation in geopolitical tensions could quickly shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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