The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 12 groups of four and 32 sides advancing (top two per group plus the eight best third-placed teams), shapes early trader focus on group standings and tiebreakers like head-to-head results, goal difference, and goals scored. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa and South Korea versus Czechia, provide the first data points on form and momentum. Host nations benefit from home support and favorable scheduling, while traditional powers like Argentina, Brazil, France, and Spain enter with strong squad depth. Key variables include confirmed lineups, injury reports from national team camps, recent Nations League or qualifier results, and potential travel or altitude effects across North American venues. Group stage results through late June will drive the sharpest probability shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWeltmeisterschaft: Team rückt in die K.o.-Phasen vor
$1,564,281 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
96%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Argentina
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
South Korea
71%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Iran
62%
Sweden
62%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Panama
35%
New Zealand
32%
Uzbekistan
32%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
$1,564,281 Vol.
Spain
98%
Brazil
98%
France
96%
England
96%
Germany
96%
Argentina
96%
Portugal
96%
Belgium
96%
Switzerland
94%
Mexico
92%
Netherlands
92%
Colombia
90%
Ecuador
88%
Uruguay
88%
Morocco
87%
Canada
86%
Norway
86%
USA
84%
Croatia
83%
Austria
81%
Turkiye
80%
Ivory Coast
79%
Japan
79%
Egypt
73%
South Korea
71%
Senegal
71%
Czechia
70%
Scotland
70%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
66%
Algeria
66%
Paraguay
64%
Iran
62%
Sweden
62%
Ghana
51%
Australia
45%
DR Congo
44%
South Africa
39%
Tunisia
37%
Saudi Arabia
36%
Panama
35%
New Zealand
32%
Uzbekistan
32%
Cape Verde
31%
Jordan
21%
Qatar
21%
Iraq
15%
Haiti
13%
Curacao
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 10:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The expanded 48-team format for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with 12 groups of four and 32 sides advancing (top two per group plus the eight best third-placed teams), shapes early trader focus on group standings and tiebreakers like head-to-head results, goal difference, and goals scored. Opening matches on June 11, including Mexico versus South Africa and South Korea versus Czechia, provide the first data points on form and momentum. Host nations benefit from home support and favorable scheduling, while traditional powers like Argentina, Brazil, France, and Spain enter with strong squad depth. Key variables include confirmed lineups, injury reports from national team camps, recent Nations League or qualifier results, and potential travel or altitude effects across North American venues. Group stage results through late June will drive the sharpest probability shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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