The 2026 FIFA World Cup opens June 11 with an expanded 48-team field and altered group structure that increases the number of sides advancing to the knockout rounds. Trader sentiment centers on the established European and South American powers—Spain, France, England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal—whose deep squads, recent major-tournament pedigree, and depth across positions underpin high implied probabilities of quarterfinal qualification. Spain enters on the back of Euro 2024 and Nations League success with an emerging core led by Lamine Yamal, while France and England rely on proven match-winners such as Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham. Late roster adjustments and fitness concerns surrounding Lionel Messi, Alphonso Davies, and several defensive options have introduced modest uncertainty, yet the overall market reflects the historical reliability of these nations in reaching the final eight when healthy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWM: Nation erreicht Viertelfinale
$242,113 Vol.
Spain
61%
France
57%
England
56%
Argentina
53%
Portugal
52%
Brazil
48%
Netherlands
40%
Germany
38%
Belgium
38%
Norway
32%
Colombia
31%
Mexico
27%
USA
25%
Switzerland
23%
Turkiye
23%
Japan
23%
Morocco
22%
Croatia
21%
Uruguay
21%
Ecuador
19%
Canada
15%
Senegal
15%
Austria
14%
Ivory Coast
13%
Czechia
12%
South Korea
11%
Algeria
10%
Paraguay
10%
Egypt
10%
Ghana
8%
Scotland
8%
Sweden
8%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%
Iran
7%
Australia
6%
Uzbekistan
5%
South Africa
5%
DR Congo
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Jordan
4%
Tunisia
3%
Haiti
3%
Qatar
3%
Iraq
3%
Panama
2%
New Zealand
2%
Cape Verde
2%
Curacao
1%
$242,113 Vol.
Spain
61%
France
57%
England
56%
Argentina
53%
Portugal
52%
Brazil
48%
Netherlands
40%
Germany
38%
Belgium
38%
Norway
32%
Colombia
31%
Mexico
27%
USA
25%
Switzerland
23%
Turkiye
23%
Japan
23%
Morocco
22%
Croatia
21%
Uruguay
21%
Ecuador
19%
Canada
15%
Senegal
15%
Austria
14%
Ivory Coast
13%
Czechia
12%
South Korea
11%
Algeria
10%
Paraguay
10%
Egypt
10%
Ghana
8%
Scotland
8%
Sweden
8%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7%
Iran
7%
Australia
6%
Uzbekistan
5%
South Africa
5%
DR Congo
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Jordan
4%
Tunisia
3%
Haiti
3%
Qatar
3%
Iraq
3%
Panama
2%
New Zealand
2%
Cape Verde
2%
Curacao
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 FIFA World Cup opens June 11 with an expanded 48-team field and altered group structure that increases the number of sides advancing to the knockout rounds. Trader sentiment centers on the established European and South American powers—Spain, France, England, Brazil, Argentina, and Portugal—whose deep squads, recent major-tournament pedigree, and depth across positions underpin high implied probabilities of quarterfinal qualification. Spain enters on the back of Euro 2024 and Nations League success with an emerging core led by Lamine Yamal, while France and England rely on proven match-winners such as Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham. Late roster adjustments and fitness concerns surrounding Lionel Messi, Alphonso Davies, and several defensive options have introduced modest uncertainty, yet the overall market reflects the historical reliability of these nations in reaching the final eight when healthy.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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