With the 2026 FIFA World Cup opening June 11 across North America, Spain and France lead market consensus to reach the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium, driven by Spain’s Euro 2024 title and Olympic success plus France’s consecutive final appearances. Argentina enters as defending champions with Lionel Messi’s likely final major tournament, while England benefits from squad depth and recent Nations League form. Portugal’s attack featuring Cristiano Ronaldo adds contention. Pre-tournament injury reports have sidelined players across contenders, including several from Brazil and Germany, though core lineups remain intact for most top sides. The 48-team format and group stage path will shape advancement odds as matches begin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWeltmeisterschaft: Nation erreicht Finale
$328,339 Vol.
Spain
29%
France
28%
England
24%
Portugal
21%
Brazil
20%
Argentina
19%
Germany
13%
Netherlands
10%
Norway
8%
Japan
7%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Mexico
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
5%
Ghana
5%
South Korea
4%
Uruguay
4%
Scotland
4%
Switzerland
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Croatia
4%
Ecuador
4%
Senegal
4%
Turkiye
3%
Czechia
3%
Austria
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
New Zealand
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
South Africa
1%
Iran
1%
Canada
1%
Australia
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Curacao
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
$328,339 Vol.
Spain
29%
France
28%
England
24%
Portugal
21%
Brazil
20%
Argentina
19%
Germany
13%
Netherlands
10%
Norway
8%
Japan
7%
Belgium
7%
Colombia
6%
Mexico
6%
Morocco
6%
USA
5%
Ghana
5%
South Korea
4%
Uruguay
4%
Scotland
4%
Switzerland
4%
Saudi Arabia
4%
Croatia
4%
Ecuador
4%
Senegal
4%
Turkiye
3%
Czechia
3%
Austria
3%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2%
Sweden
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
New Zealand
2%
Paraguay
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
South Africa
1%
Iran
1%
Canada
1%
Australia
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Curacao
1%
Tunisia
1%
Egypt
1%
Cape Verde
1%
Qatar
1%
Iraq
1%
Jordan
1%
Panama
<1%
Haiti
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the 2026 FIFA World Cup opening June 11 across North America, Spain and France lead market consensus to reach the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium, driven by Spain’s Euro 2024 title and Olympic success plus France’s consecutive final appearances. Argentina enters as defending champions with Lionel Messi’s likely final major tournament, while England benefits from squad depth and recent Nations League form. Portugal’s attack featuring Cristiano Ronaldo adds contention. Pre-tournament injury reports have sidelined players across contenders, including several from Brazil and Germany, though core lineups remain intact for most top sides. The 48-team format and group stage path will shape advancement odds as matches begin.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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