New Zealand enters Group G as the clear underdog, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability of finishing last due to its limited World Cup pedigree, lower FIFA ranking, and matchup against stronger African and Asian sides in a compact group stage. Egypt and Iran sit as the next most likely candidates, reflecting their middling recent form, inconsistent qualifying results, and the risk of dropping points in a four-team setup where only the bottom side is eliminated from advancement contention. Belgium remains the prohibitive favorite to top the group, leaving little room for a last-place finish despite any rotation concerns. With fixtures opening June 15, key factors include starting lineups, early results, and the tight schedule that could amplify any early setbacks for the Oceania side.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWorld Cup: Group G Last Place
New Zealand 59%
Iran 26%
Egypt 17%
Belgium 3.3%
New Zealand
59%
Iran
26%
Egypt
17%
Belgium
3%
New Zealand 59%
Iran 26%
Egypt 17%
Belgium 3.3%
New Zealand
59%
Iran
26%
Egypt
17%
Belgium
3%
If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If multiple teams tie for bottom of the group, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no bottom-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Zealand enters Group G as the clear underdog, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability of finishing last due to its limited World Cup pedigree, lower FIFA ranking, and matchup against stronger African and Asian sides in a compact group stage. Egypt and Iran sit as the next most likely candidates, reflecting their middling recent form, inconsistent qualifying results, and the risk of dropping points in a four-team setup where only the bottom side is eliminated from advancement contention. Belgium remains the prohibitive favorite to top the group, leaving little room for a last-place finish despite any rotation concerns. With fixtures opening June 15, key factors include starting lineups, early results, and the tight schedule that could amplify any early setbacks for the Oceania side.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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