With the 48-team field for the 2026 FIFA World Cup now finalized after intercontinental playoffs concluded in early June—including debutants like Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan—trader sentiment hinges on mounting injury crises threatening top contenders just weeks before the June 11 group stage kickoff across the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Brazil faces a blow with Rodrygo, Estêvão, and Éder Militão ruled out via ACL, hamstring, and surgery issues, while Germany's Serge Gnabry (adductor tear) and Marc-André ter Stegen (thigh muscle) are sidelined or doubtful; Spain's Lamine Yamal and Argentina's Cristian Romero remain in jeopardy with hamstring and MCL concerns. Powerhouses like France, Spain, England, and Argentina hold depth advantages in the expanded knockout format from Round of 32 onward, bolstered by recent qualifying form and favorable group paths, though hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico benefit from home support and rest. Final squads and warm-up friendlies could shift paths to the final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Spain
32%
France
31%
Argentina
24%
England
20%
USA
25%
Brazil
21%
Portugal
16%
Germany
15%
Netherlands
14%
Austria
13%
Tunisia
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Turkiye
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Croatia
5%
DR Congo
5%
Ecuador
5%
Switzerland
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Czechia
3%
Haiti
3%
Australia
3%
Egypt
3%
South Korea
2%
Panama
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Curacao
2%
New Zealand
2%
Iraq
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Ghana
2%
Algeria
1%
Canada
11%
Cape Verde
1%
South Africa
1%
Jordan
7%
Qatar
1%
Scotland
25%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1%
Iran
1%
$5,664 Vol.
Spain
32%
France
31%
Argentina
24%
England
20%
USA
25%
Brazil
21%
Portugal
16%
Germany
15%
Netherlands
14%
Austria
13%
Tunisia
8%
Belgium
8%
Mexico
7%
Turkiye
6%
Colombia
6%
Norway
6%
Croatia
5%
DR Congo
5%
Ecuador
5%
Switzerland
5%
Sweden
5%
Senegal
5%
Paraguay
4%
Japan
3%
Morocco
3%
Uruguay
3%
Czechia
3%
Haiti
3%
Australia
3%
Egypt
3%
South Korea
2%
Panama
2%
Uzbekistan
2%
Curacao
2%
New Zealand
2%
Iraq
2%
Ivory Coast
2%
Ghana
2%
Algeria
1%
Canada
11%
Cape Verde
1%
South Africa
1%
Jordan
7%
Qatar
1%
Scotland
25%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1%
Iran
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the 48-team field for the 2026 FIFA World Cup now finalized after intercontinental playoffs concluded in early June—including debutants like Curaçao, Jordan, and Uzbekistan—trader sentiment hinges on mounting injury crises threatening top contenders just weeks before the June 11 group stage kickoff across the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Brazil faces a blow with Rodrygo, Estêvão, and Éder Militão ruled out via ACL, hamstring, and surgery issues, while Germany's Serge Gnabry (adductor tear) and Marc-André ter Stegen (thigh muscle) are sidelined or doubtful; Spain's Lamine Yamal and Argentina's Cristian Romero remain in jeopardy with hamstring and MCL concerns. Powerhouses like France, Spain, England, and Argentina hold depth advantages in the expanded knockout format from Round of 32 onward, bolstered by recent qualifying form and favorable group paths, though hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico benefit from home support and rest. Final squads and warm-up friendlies could shift paths to the final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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