Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 50%
<40 30%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.1%
NUEVO
$63,300 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,300 Vol.
22 jul 2026
<40
30%
40-64
50%
65-89
19%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
<40 30%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.1%
NUEVO
$63,300 Vol.
NUEVO
$63,300 Vol.
22 jul 2026
<40
$8,587 Vol.
30%
40-64
$8,379 Vol.
50%
65-89
$6,344 Vol.
19%
90-114
$6,978 Vol.
3%
115-139
$8,524 Vol.
1%
140-164
$4,193 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$9,837 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,714 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$63,300Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 20 12:00 PM ET to July 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$63,300Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 18, 2026, 4:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent posting pace on X, with multiple daily updates including product mentions and casual commentary as of mid-July 2026, anchors trader focus on moderate activity levels for the July 20-22 window. Historical patterns show his output fluctuating sharply with news cycles, Tesla or SpaceX developments, and personal engagement rather than fixed schedules, creating tight competition among the 40-64, under-40, and 65-89 ranges. Weekday timing adds consistency but limited upside without major catalysts like earnings or launches. The close market-implied odds reflect this inherent variability, where even brief spikes in replies or threads can shift totals, underscoring the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of his unpredictable rhythm over any single narrative.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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