Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's established posting rhythm, with recent trackers showing averages of roughly 20 tweets per day over the past week, positioning the 40-64 outcome as the clear leader for the three-day window. This range aligns with weekday patterns observed in 2025-2026 data, where daily volume often lands between 15 and 25 posts absent major disruptions. The Starship flight test scheduled for July 23 and accompanying Starlink missions on July 24 stand out as near-term catalysts that historically prompt heightened commentary and replies from the account. Markets assign lower weight to sub-40 or higher brackets because sustained extremes remain rare without coinciding product launches or political developments, underscoring how real-capital bets aggregate observable habits and calendar events into implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 53%
<40 30%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.8%
NUEVO
$21,009 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,009 Vol.
25 jul 2026
<40
30%
40-64
53%
65-89
15%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 53%
<40 30%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.8%
NUEVO
$21,009 Vol.
NUEVO
$21,009 Vol.
25 jul 2026
<40
$2,964 Vol.
30%
40-64
$3,170 Vol.
53%
65-89
$870 Vol.
15%
90-114
$1,590 Vol.
3%
115-139
$3,290 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,826 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$1,856 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$2,336 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,886 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 23 12:00 PM ET to July 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's established posting rhythm, with recent trackers showing averages of roughly 20 tweets per day over the past week, positioning the 40-64 outcome as the clear leader for the three-day window. This range aligns with weekday patterns observed in 2025-2026 data, where daily volume often lands between 15 and 25 posts absent major disruptions. The Starship flight test scheduled for July 23 and accompanying Starlink missions on July 24 stand out as near-term catalysts that historically prompt heightened commentary and replies from the account. Markets assign lower weight to sub-40 or higher brackets because sustained extremes remain rare without coinciding product launches or political developments, underscoring how real-capital bets aggregate observable habits and calendar events into implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 23 12:00 PM ET to July 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$21,009Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 23 12:00 PM ET to July 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's established posting rhythm, with recent trackers showing averages of roughly 20 tweets per day over the past week, positioning the 40-64 outcome as the clear leader for the three-day window. This range aligns with weekday patterns observed in 2025-2026 data, where daily volume often lands between 15 and 25 posts absent major disruptions. The Starship flight test scheduled for July 23 and accompanying Starlink missions on July 24 stand out as near-term catalysts that historically prompt heightened commentary and replies from the account. Markets assign lower weight to sub-40 or higher brackets because sustained extremes remain rare without coinciding product launches or political developments, underscoring how real-capital bets aggregate observable habits and calendar events into implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 23 12:00 PM ET to July 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$21,009Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on Elon Musk's established posting rhythm, with recent trackers showing averages of roughly 20 tweets per day over the past week, positioning the 40-64 outcome as the clear leader for the three-day window. This range aligns with weekday patterns observed in 2025-2026 data, where daily volume often lands between 15 and 25 posts absent major disruptions. The Starship flight test scheduled for July 23 and accompanying Starlink missions on July 24 stand out as near-term catalysts that historically prompt heightened commentary and replies from the account. Markets assign lower weight to sub-40 or higher brackets because sustained extremes remain rare without coinciding product launches or political developments, underscoring how real-capital bets aggregate observable habits and calendar events into implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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