Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Albania <1%
Austria <1%
Bélgica <1%
Croacia <1%
$193,892,261 Vol.
$193,892,261 Vol.
16 may 2026
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Bélgica
<1%
Croacia
<1%
Chequia
<1%
Francia
<1%
Alemania
<1%
Israel
<1%
Moldavia
<1%
Noruega
<1%
Suecia
<1%
Ucrania
<1%
Australia
<1%
Chipre
<1%
Dinamarca
<1%
Finlandia
<1%
Grecia
<1%
Italia
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Malta
<1%
Polonia
<1%
Rumanía
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Reino Unido
<1%
Albania <1%
Austria <1%
Bélgica <1%
Croacia <1%
$193,892,261 Vol.
$193,892,261 Vol.
16 may 2026
Albania
$8,005,195 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$8,107,125 Vol.
<1%
Bélgica
$5,419,465 Vol.
<1%
Croacia
$5,652,734 Vol.
<1%
Chequia
$3,523,122 Vol.
<1%
Francia
$4,296,621 Vol.
<1%
Alemania
$4,629,156 Vol.
<1%
Israel
$5,351,783 Vol.
<1%
Moldavia
$5,407,086 Vol.
<1%
Noruega
$6,091,677 Vol.
<1%
Suecia
$3,202,899 Vol.
<1%
Ucrania
$3,941,487 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$4,636,149 Vol.
<1%
Chipre
$4,313,633 Vol.
<1%
Dinamarca
$3,472,765 Vol.
<1%
Finlandia
$6,587,883 Vol.
<1%
Grecia
$4,876,382 Vol.
<1%
Italia
$4,904,251 Vol.
<1%
Lituania
$6,084,448 Vol.
<1%
Malta
$4,428,777 Vol.
<1%
Polonia
$8,390,429 Vol.
<1%
Rumanía
$4,191,615 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$6,728,208 Vol.
<1%
Reino Unido
$4,802,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$193,892,261Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$193,892,261Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Bulgaria's commanding 100% market-implied probability stems directly from Dara's decisive victory in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final in Vienna, where her upbeat track "Bangaranga" earned 516 points and swept both jury and public votes for the country's first-ever win. Traders have rapidly priced in the outcome following the live performance and official tally, reflecting the contest's clear resolution criteria around total points and dual voting systems. Historical precedent shows such lopsided results rarely shift once the ceremony concludes, though an extremely narrow technical recount or disqualification on voting irregularities could theoretically reopen the field in the hours immediately after the announcement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes