South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Ganador absoluto de la primera ronda en la Primaria Especial Republicana del Senado de Carolina del Sur?
¿Ganador absoluto de la primera ronda en la Primaria Especial Republicana del Senado de Carolina del Sur?
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Carolina's special Republican Senate primary, triggered by Lindsey Graham's death shortly after his June primary victory, features a fragmented field including U.S. Reps. Russell Fry and Ralph Norman, plus Mark Lynch and Duke Buckner. Multiple viable contenders and limited time for consolidation have produced a balanced field where no candidate has yet established dominance through endorsements or polling. Trader consensus at even odds reflects uncertainty over whether vote splitting will force a runoff or allow one contender to clear 50 percent in the initial round. Key upcoming factors include candidate debates, fundraising reports, and any late national party signals that could consolidate support before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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