The closely matched Republican runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for Georgia's U.S. Senate nomination has produced tight trader pricing, with substantial probability assigned to narrow Collins victories or an "other" outcome. The primary's split results—Collins at roughly 40 percent, Dooley at 30 percent, and Buddy Carter eliminated—left both candidates drawing from overlapping but distinct voter coalitions: Collins from Trump-aligned and MAGA-leaning voters, Dooley from those favoring Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement and establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with the June 16 runoff date and limited recent polling shifts, sustains the contest's balance. A late endorsement, stronger rural or suburban turnout differentials, or debate follow-up momentum could widen margins by clarifying factional preferences before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGeorgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Georgia Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 15–20% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 10–15% 38%
$60 Vol.
$60 Vol.
25 may 2026
Dooley gana
15%
Collins <5%
45%
Collins 5–10%
21%
Collins 10–15%
38%
Collins 15–20%
40%
Collins 20–25%
39%
Collins 25%+
36%
Collins <5% 45%
Collins 15–20% 40%
Collins 20–25% 39%
Collins 10–15% 38%
$60 Vol.
$60 Vol.
25 may 2026
Dooley gana
$15 Vol.
15%
Collins <5%
$28 Vol.
45%
Collins 5–10%
$43 Vol.
21%
Collins 10–15%
$5 Vol.
38%
Collins 15–20%
$5 Vol.
40%
Collins 20–25%
$5 Vol.
39%
Collins 25%+
$25 Vol.
36%
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely matched Republican runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for Georgia's U.S. Senate nomination has produced tight trader pricing, with substantial probability assigned to narrow Collins victories or an "other" outcome. The primary's split results—Collins at roughly 40 percent, Dooley at 30 percent, and Buddy Carter eliminated—left both candidates drawing from overlapping but distinct voter coalitions: Collins from Trump-aligned and MAGA-leaning voters, Dooley from those favoring Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement and establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with the June 16 runoff date and limited recent polling shifts, sustains the contest's balance. A late endorsement, stronger rural or suburban turnout differentials, or debate follow-up momentum could widen margins by clarifying factional preferences before ballots close.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Volumen
$60Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The closely matched Republican runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for Georgia's U.S. Senate nomination has produced tight trader pricing, with substantial probability assigned to narrow Collins victories or an "other" outcome. The primary's split results—Collins at roughly 40 percent, Dooley at 30 percent, and Buddy Carter eliminated—left both candidates drawing from overlapping but distinct voter coalitions: Collins from Trump-aligned and MAGA-leaning voters, Dooley from those favoring Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement and establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with the June 16 runoff date and limited recent polling shifts, sustains the contest's balance. A late endorsement, stronger rural or suburban turnout differentials, or debate follow-up momentum could widen margins by clarifying factional preferences before ballots close.
The Georgia Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for June 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Georgia Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Georgia, such as official statewide results published by the Georgia Secretary of State (https://sos.ga.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$60Fecha de finalización
25 may 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Republican runoff between Rep. Mike Collins and Derek Dooley for Georgia's U.S. Senate nomination has produced tight trader pricing, with substantial probability assigned to narrow Collins victories or an "other" outcome. The primary's split results—Collins at roughly 40 percent, Dooley at 30 percent, and Buddy Carter eliminated—left both candidates drawing from overlapping but distinct voter coalitions: Collins from Trump-aligned and MAGA-leaning voters, Dooley from those favoring Gov. Brian Kemp's endorsement and establishment support. The absence of a Trump endorsement to date, combined with the June 16 runoff date and limited recent polling shifts, sustains the contest's balance. A late endorsement, stronger rural or suburban turnout differentials, or debate follow-up momentum could widen margins by clarifying factional preferences before ballots close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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