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icon for 2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur
Política·Escocia

2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur

icon for 2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur
Política·Escocia

2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

Richard Gordon Thomson 72%

Douglas Lumsden 27%

Nurul Hoque Ali <1%

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%

Polymarket

$10,287 Vol.

icon for Richard Gordon Thomson

Richard Gordon Thomson

$1,876 Vol.

72%

icon for Douglas Lumsden

Douglas Lumsden

$2,701 Vol.

27%

icon for Nurul Hoque Ali

Nurul Hoque Ali

$1,366 Vol.

1%

icon for Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

Jorg Shelton-Eckstein

$1,135 Vol.

1%

icon for David Ballantine

David Ballantine

$1,113 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jo Hart

Jo Hart

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mel Sullivan

Mel Sullivan

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$10,287
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).The SNP's selection of Richard Gordon Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency with extensive local government experience in Aberdeenshire, underpins trader consensus favoring his victory in the 18 June 2026 by-election. The contest follows Stephen Flynn's resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, with the SNP retaining a structural advantage in this North Sea energy seat where oil and gas policy remains a central campaign issue. Douglas Lumsden, the Scottish Conservative candidate and MSP, represents the main opposition challenge amid broader UK-wide shifts in voter priorities. Other candidates, including Labour's Nurul Hoque Ali, trail significantly in implied probabilities, reflecting limited recent polling movement or breakthrough developments in the final days before polling.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$10,287
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Aberdeen South is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Richard Gordon Thomson" con 72%, seguido de "Douglas Lumsden" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur" ha generado $10.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur" es "Richard Gordon Thomson" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Douglas Lumsden" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2026 Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Aberdeen Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.