Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight race between the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 33% implied probability and $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting range-bound expectations around the current front-month quote near $4,700 amid recent downside pressure from hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation. This resurgent price growth has diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut odds, elevating real yields and bolstering the U.S. dollar—key headwinds for the non-yielding metal, which has retraced 16% from its January peak above $5,500. Differentiating factors include persistent central bank accumulation (forecast at 800 tonnes for 2026) versus tighter monetary policy risks; May CPI release and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,600-$5,000 33%
$4,200-$4,600 28.0%
$5,000-$5,400 16.7%
$3,800-$4,200 8.5%
$944,978 Vol.
$944,978 Vol.
<$3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4,200-$4,600
28%
$4,600-$5,000
33%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
$4,600-$5,000 33%
$4,200-$4,600 28.0%
$5,000-$5,400 16.7%
$3,800-$4,200 8.5%
$944,978 Vol.
$944,978 Vol.
<$3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4,200-$4,600
28%
$4,600-$5,000
33%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
2%
>$6,200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX gold (GC) futures settlement in a tight race between the $4,600-$5,000 bin at 33% implied probability and $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting range-bound expectations around the current front-month quote near $4,700 amid recent downside pressure from hotter-than-expected April 2026 CPI data showing 3.8% year-over-year inflation. This resurgent price growth has diminished Federal Reserve rate-cut odds, elevating real yields and bolstering the U.S. dollar—key headwinds for the non-yielding metal, which has retraced 16% from its January peak above $5,500. Differentiating factors include persistent central bank accumulation (forecast at 800 tonnes for 2026) versus tighter monetary policy risks; May CPI release and June FOMC meeting loom as pivotal catalysts that could tip the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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