Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran conflict remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices in June 2026, triggering sharp production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day in the Middle East and prompting significant global inventory draws. July 2026 WTI futures have traded between roughly $85 and $96 per barrel in recent sessions, reflecting a risk premium amid limited shipping and force majeure declarations. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging $105 per barrel in June and July under assumptions of continued Hormuz restrictions, before easing as flows potentially resume later in the year. OPEC+ members have approved modest output increases of 188,000 barrels per day effective June and July while monitoring compliance, though actual supply restoration hinges on de-escalation. Broader factors include soft global demand growth forecasts—now expected to contract modestly in 2026—and non-OPEC supply additions that could widen surpluses once disruptions ease, creating downside pressure on forward prices. Key near-term catalysts include any progress toward ceasefire agreements and the next OPEC+ meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,615,632 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
20%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
6%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
$2,615,632 Vol.
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
2%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $120
6%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $115
10%
↑ $110
14%
↑ $105
21%
↑ $100
37%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
46%
↓ $75
20%
↓ $30
<1%
↓ $65
6%
↓ $60
3%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $20
<1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Mercado abierto: May 29, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Fuente de resolución
https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTIResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and U.S.-Iran conflict remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices in June 2026, triggering sharp production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day in the Middle East and prompting significant global inventory draws. July 2026 WTI futures have traded between roughly $85 and $96 per barrel in recent sessions, reflecting a risk premium amid limited shipping and force majeure declarations. The EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent averaging $105 per barrel in June and July under assumptions of continued Hormuz restrictions, before easing as flows potentially resume later in the year. OPEC+ members have approved modest output increases of 188,000 barrels per day effective June and July while monitoring compliance, though actual supply restoration hinges on de-escalation. Broader factors include soft global demand growth forecasts—now expected to contract modestly in 2026—and non-OPEC supply additions that could widen surpluses once disruptions ease, creating downside pressure on forward prices. Key near-term catalysts include any progress toward ceasefire agreements and the next OPEC+ meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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