Rockstar Games' decision to push GTA VI beyond its original 2025 window, combined with the project's unprecedented scope and the studio's long history of multi-year delays on open-world titles, has solidified trader consensus around a post-June 2026 release. No official launch date or final marketing push has materialized in the last several months, leaving the market-implied 99.2 percent probability on "No" driven by realistic development timelines rather than speculation. While a surprise early drop remains theoretically possible if internal milestones accelerate dramatically, past patterns with Red Dead Redemption 2 and GTA V suggest such an outcome would require unprecedented execution, keeping any upset scenario low-probability at this stage.