Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, sharply boosting trader consensus behind no additional prison time at 93.5% implied probability. The outcome stems from a deadlocked jury on the primary charge, echoing the prior hung jury and removing immediate risk of further Manhattan sentencing for the disgraced producer. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California term under appeal while facing health complications and wheelchair use, benefits from procedural setbacks that have repeatedly stalled new convictions. Key upcoming catalysts include defense motions to bar another retrial and rulings on his Los Angeles appeal, which could trigger release if successful. An upset would require prosecutors securing a swift fourth trial and conviction before appeals alter his status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 93.5%
<5 años 5.2%
5-10 años 1.7%
20-30 años 1.4%
$970,791 Vol.
$970,791 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
94%
<5 años
5%
5-10 años
2%
10-20 años
1%
20-30 años
1%
Más de 30 años
1%
Sin tiempo en prisión 93.5%
<5 años 5.2%
5-10 años 1.7%
20-30 años 1.4%
$970,791 Vol.
$970,791 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$340,721 Vol.
94%
<5 años
$130,167 Vol.
5%
5-10 años
$78,161 Vol.
2%
10-20 años
$154,341 Vol.
1%
20-30 años
$195,472 Vol.
1%
Más de 30 años
$71,930 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, sharply boosting trader consensus behind no additional prison time at 93.5% implied probability. The outcome stems from a deadlocked jury on the primary charge, echoing the prior hung jury and removing immediate risk of further Manhattan sentencing for the disgraced producer. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California term under appeal while facing health complications and wheelchair use, benefits from procedural setbacks that have repeatedly stalled new convictions. Key upcoming catalysts include defense motions to bar another retrial and rulings on his Los Angeles appeal, which could trigger release if successful. An upset would require prosecutors securing a swift fourth trial and conviction before appeals alter his status.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$970,791Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, sharply boosting trader consensus behind no additional prison time at 93.5% implied probability. The outcome stems from a deadlocked jury on the primary charge, echoing the prior hung jury and removing immediate risk of further Manhattan sentencing for the disgraced producer. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California term under appeal while facing health complications and wheelchair use, benefits from procedural setbacks that have repeatedly stalled new convictions. Key upcoming catalysts include defense motions to bar another retrial and rulings on his Los Angeles appeal, which could trigger release if successful. An upset would require prosecutors securing a swift fourth trial and conviction before appeals alter his status.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$970,791Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial ended in a mistrial on May 15, 2026, sharply boosting trader consensus behind no additional prison time at 93.5% implied probability. The outcome stems from a deadlocked jury on the primary charge, echoing the prior hung jury and removing immediate risk of further Manhattan sentencing for the disgraced producer. Weinstein, already serving a 16-year California term under appeal while facing health complications and wheelchair use, benefits from procedural setbacks that have repeatedly stalled new convictions. Key upcoming catalysts include defense motions to bar another retrial and rulings on his Los Angeles appeal, which could trigger release if successful. An upset would require prosecutors securing a swift fourth trial and conviction before appeals alter his status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes