Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the leaderboard to 64.5–65% on the 2,500-question expert-crafted Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark, outpacing Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 58.7% as of mid-September 2026. Rapid gains from sub-5% at launch in early 2025 reflect advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive scaffolds that better handle multi-step expert problems across math, physics, and humanities. Competitive pressure among frontier labs, combined with monthly HLE-Rolling updates that maintain difficulty, suggests further upside before year-end if new model versions or agentic workflows ship. Trader consensus on the highest 2026 score therefore centers on continued Anthropic leadership and the pace of verifiable capability jumps rather than saturation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$73,953 Vol.
31 dic 2026
60%+
44%
65%+
29%
70%+
15%
75%+
13%
80%+
7%
90%+
5%
$73,953 Vol.
60%+
$42,984 Vol.
44%
65%+
$16,633 Vol.
29%
70%+
$6,485 Vol.
15%
75%+
$3,674 Vol.
13%
80%+
$1,710 Vol.
7%
90%+
$2,465 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the leaderboard to 64.5–65% on the 2,500-question expert-crafted Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark, outpacing Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 58.7% as of mid-September 2026. Rapid gains from sub-5% at launch in early 2025 reflect advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive scaffolds that better handle multi-step expert problems across math, physics, and humanities. Competitive pressure among frontier labs, combined with monthly HLE-Rolling updates that maintain difficulty, suggests further upside before year-end if new model versions or agentic workflows ship. Trader consensus on the highest 2026 score therefore centers on continued Anthropic leadership and the pace of verifiable capability jumps rather than saturation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volumen
$73,953Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the leaderboard to 64.5–65% on the 2,500-question expert-crafted Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark, outpacing Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 58.7% as of mid-September 2026. Rapid gains from sub-5% at launch in early 2025 reflect advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive scaffolds that better handle multi-step expert problems across math, physics, and humanities. Competitive pressure among frontier labs, combined with monthly HLE-Rolling updates that maintain difficulty, suggests further upside before year-end if new model versions or agentic workflows ship. Trader consensus on the highest 2026 score therefore centers on continued Anthropic leadership and the pace of verifiable capability jumps rather than saturation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$73,953Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 6:41 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5 releases have driven the leaderboard to 64.5–65% on the 2,500-question expert-crafted Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark, outpacing Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 at 62% and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 58.7% as of mid-September 2026. Rapid gains from sub-5% at launch in early 2025 reflect advances in chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive scaffolds that better handle multi-step expert problems across math, physics, and humanities. Competitive pressure among frontier labs, combined with monthly HLE-Rolling updates that maintain difficulty, suggests further upside before year-end if new model versions or agentic workflows ship. Trader consensus on the highest 2026 score therefore centers on continued Anthropic leadership and the pace of verifiable capability jumps rather than saturation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Será la puntuación más alta alcanzada por un modelo de OpenAI en el Último Examen de la Humanidad en 2026 del 55% o superior?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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