Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and KNMI ensembles shows Amsterdam under a slack pressure gradient with southerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air, supporting a maximum temperature consensus near 25°C on July 25. This places the highest probability on 24–25°C outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any midday cloud build-up, which could cap peaks at 24°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief warming to 26°C; coastal sea-breeze moderation also introduces a 1–2°C downward bias relative to inland sites. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly the 12Z ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie, will refine boundary-layer details and resolve the narrow temperature window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 25 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 25 de julio?
25°C 37%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jul 2026
20°C o menos
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
14%
24°C
34%
25°C
37%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 37%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jul 2026
20°C o menos
$28 Vol.
1%
21°C
$142 Vol.
3%
22°C
$114 Vol.
5%
23°C
$44 Vol.
14%
24°C
$10 Vol.
34%
25°C
$372 Vol.
37%
26°C
$127 Vol.
13%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C o más
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and KNMI ensembles shows Amsterdam under a slack pressure gradient with southerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air, supporting a maximum temperature consensus near 25°C on July 25. This places the highest probability on 24–25°C outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any midday cloud build-up, which could cap peaks at 24°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief warming to 26°C; coastal sea-breeze moderation also introduces a 1–2°C downward bias relative to inland sites. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly the 12Z ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie, will refine boundary-layer details and resolve the narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$861Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and KNMI ensembles shows Amsterdam under a slack pressure gradient with southerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air, supporting a maximum temperature consensus near 25°C on July 25. This places the highest probability on 24–25°C outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any midday cloud build-up, which could cap peaks at 24°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief warming to 26°C; coastal sea-breeze moderation also introduces a 1–2°C downward bias relative to inland sites. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly the 12Z ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie, will refine boundary-layer details and resolve the narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$861Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from sources including ECMWF and KNMI ensembles shows Amsterdam under a slack pressure gradient with southerly flow bringing mild Atlantic air, supporting a maximum temperature consensus near 25°C on July 25. This places the highest probability on 24–25°C outcomes, consistent with the tight market spread. Key differentiating factors include the precise timing of any midday cloud build-up, which could cap peaks at 24°C, versus clearer conditions allowing brief warming to 26°C; coastal sea-breeze moderation also introduces a 1–2°C downward bias relative to inland sites. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly the 12Z ECMWF and KNMI Harmonie, will refine boundary-layer details and resolve the narrow temperature window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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