Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 25 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 25 de julio?
20°C 28%
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jul 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
13%
20°C
28%
21°C
26%
22°C
23%
23°C
14%
24°C
9%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
<1%
20°C 28%
21°C 26%
22°C 23%
23°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 jul 2026
17°C or below
$65 Vol.
1%
18°C
$19 Vol.
8%
19°C
$13 Vol.
13%
20°C
$27 Vol.
28%
21°C
$10 Vol.
26%
22°C
$26 Vol.
23%
23°C
$22 Vol.
14%
24°C
$34 Vol.
9%
25°C
$163 Vol.
2%
26°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$524Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$524Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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