Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 11 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 11 de julio?
30°C 47%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
33%
30°C
47%
31°C
17%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 33%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jul 2026
25°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$821 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$282 Vol.
1%
28°C
$735 Vol.
5%
29°C
$1,352 Vol.
33%
30°C
$836 Vol.
47%
31°C
$984 Vol.
17%
32°C
$808 Vol.
2%
33°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$128 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$6,853Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,853Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for Ankara on July 11, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 34.5%. Official numerical models and climatological baselines place the July daily maximum near 30–31°C under typical ridge conditions, while recent forecasts from multiple sources converge on 29–31°C amid light northerly winds and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. The spread across adjacent bins reflects residual uncertainty in afternoon mixing and exact steering, as small shifts in model guidance or boundary-layer moisture could nudge the observed high by 1–2°C. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine this range ahead of the July 10–11 period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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