Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 14 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 14 de julio?
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
NUEVO
$25,971 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,971 Vol.
14 jul 2026
31°C o menos
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C o más
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
33°C 16%
36°C 9%
NUEVO
$25,971 Vol.
NUEVO
$25,971 Vol.
14 jul 2026
31°C o menos
$4,158 Vol.
1%
32°C
$4,216 Vol.
3%
33°C
$2,487 Vol.
16%
34°C
$2,447 Vol.
37%
35°C
$2,728 Vol.
33%
36°C
$2,568 Vol.
9%
37°C
$4,238 Vol.
2%
38°C
$2,237 Vol.
1%
39°C
$591 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$231 Vol.
<1%
41°C o más
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volumen
$25,971Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,971Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from global and regional models indicate Beijing's July 14 maximum will likely fall in the 33–35 °C range, with 34 °C emerging as the modal outcome amid lingering effects from July 13 rainfall that increased surface moisture and moderated afternoon heating. Traders are weighing the balance between daytime solar insolation under variable cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, and possible weak frontal influences that could cap or boost temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 31–33 °C provide context, while ensemble spread highlights sensitivity to boundary-layer humidity and wind patterns; any shift in the next model runs or official CMA guidance could quickly reprice the tightly bunched 33–35 °C contracts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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