Traders see the tight clustering around 33–35°C for Chengdu’s August 9 high as reflecting ensemble forecast spread two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture favor afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 31–34°C mean, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered thunderstorms—common in Sichuan during early August—can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 35°C. Model consensus from global and regional runs shows modest diurnal ranges under high humidity, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 9 de agosto?
34°C 30%
33°C 21%
35°C 18%
36°C 14%
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
21%
34°C
30%
35°C
18%
36°C
14%
37°C o más
8%
34°C 30%
33°C 21%
35°C 18%
36°C 14%
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
21%
34°C
30%
35°C
18%
36°C
14%
37°C o más
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tight clustering around 33–35°C for Chengdu’s August 9 high as reflecting ensemble forecast spread two days ahead. Subtropical high pressure and lingering monsoon moisture favor afternoon temperatures near the seasonal 31–34°C mean, while variable cloud cover and possible scattered thunderstorms—common in Sichuan during early August—can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C through reduced solar heating or allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward 35°C. Model consensus from global and regional runs shows modest diurnal ranges under high humidity, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity before the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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